Exponential and Logistic Models on Population Growth in Tomohon City

  • Lorenza Raquel Lenak Universitas Negeri Manado
  • Richard Gland Pascoal
  • Jelita Milka Tirza Layuk
  • Prida Arunde
  • Wilka Michael Kenap
  • Afia Rebeka Silaban
  • Widiawaty Katampuge
  • James U. L. Mangobi
  • Marvel Grace Maukar
Keywords: Exponential Model, Logistic Model, Population Growth

Abstract

Population growth that continues to increase will have a positive and negative impact. To anticipate the occurrence of negative impacts, we have to make forecasts about population growth. This study aims to forecast population growth in Tomohon City using differential equations called Exponential Model of Population Growth and Logistic Model of Population Growth. In this study, the authors used population data from the Central Bureau of Statistics in Tomohon City. The authors took data in 2015-2024. The results showed that the most appropriate exponential model to forecast the number of population is a model with k = 0.00297402 and the forecast number of population in Tomohon City in 2025 is 104.121 people. Meanwhile, the most appropriate logistic model to forecast the number of population is a model with r = 0.05283328 and the forecast number of population in Tomohon City in 2025 (t = 10) is 104,113 people

Published
2026-01-20
How to Cite
Lenak, L., Pascoal, R. G., Layuk, J. M. T., Arunde, P., Kenap, W. M., Silaban, A. R., Katampuge, W., Mangobi, J. U. L., & Maukar, M. G. (2026). Exponential and Logistic Models on Population Growth in Tomohon City. Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan, 12(1.D), 56-65. Retrieved from https://jurnal.peneliti.net/index.php/JIWP/article/view/12378
Issue
Vol 12 No 1.D (2026): Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan
Section
Articles